Tropical Cyclone Bulletin NR. 5

Tropical Depression #JulianPH
ISSUED AT 5:00 AM, 28 September 2024

“JULIAN” Maintains its strength while decelerating Southward over the Philippine Sea

Intensity: Maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 70 km/h, and central pressure of 1002 hPa
Present Movement: Southward at 10 km/h

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 1 (Wind threat: Strong winds)
Luzon
Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, the northeastern portion of Isabela (San Pablo, Divilacan, Maconacon, Palanan, Cabagan, Santa Maria, Tumauini, Ilagan City, San Mariano, Santo Tomas, Delfin Albano), and the eastern portion of Apayao (Luna, Pudtol, Santa Marcela, Flora)
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 5 issued at 5:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Depression JULIAN.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Rough sea condition over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m over the seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
JULIAN is forecast to follow a looping path over the waters east of Batanes and Cagayan in the next five days. Within the next 12 hours, this tropical cyclone is forecast to move southwestward before turning westward this afternoon while decelerating. It will then move generally northwestward from tomorrow (29 September) until Tuesday (1 October) before turning northward to north northeastward for the remaining of the forecast period. Based on the latest forecast track, JULIAN may possibly make landfall over Batanes by Monday afternoon or evening as a typhoon and may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Wednesday (2 October) evening to Thursday (3 October) early morning.
DOST-PAGASA
#JulianPH
#StaySafeIsabela